Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.228918 0.270931 0.315801 0.367012 0.423565 0.483846 0.552690
2024-10-20 0.168517 0.224084 0.287846 0.365307 0.455769 0.557035 0.677919
2024-10-27 0.131292 0.195302 0.273806 0.374525 0.497728 0.641104 0.818119
2024-11-03 0.104530 0.173685 0.264052 0.385831 0.540862 0.727180 0.963526
2024-11-10 0.083990 0.155926 0.255870 0.396778 0.582591 0.812132 1.109947
2024-11-17 0.063133 0.133127 0.237190 0.391024 0.601223 0.867984 1.221642
2024-11-24 0.049853 0.118809 0.227944 0.396120 0.632929 0.940199 1.354710
2024-12-01 0.037189 0.102226 0.212604 0.390371 0.648526 0.991012 1.460996
2024-12-08 0.025915 0.084685 0.192775 0.375431 0.649414 1.021252 1.540350
2024-12-15 0.020593 0.077458 0.188746 0.383561 0.682587 1.094871 1.677237
2024-12-22 0.014509 0.066125 0.175578 0.375677 0.691364 1.134734 1.769554
2024-12-29 0.012297 0.063697 0.178368 0.393585 0.738663 1.228529 1.935388
2025-01-05 0.008844 0.056300 0.170683 0.393754 0.759777 1.287247 2.056624
2025-01-12 0.006329 0.050267 0.164674 0.396083 0.783989 1.350693 2.185357
2025-01-19 0.004901 0.047187 0.164420 0.408369 0.823984 1.437422 2.347443
2025-01-26 0.003811 0.044675 0.164972 0.421936 0.866198 1.527951 2.515936
2025-02-02 0.002900 0.042172 0.165096 0.434543 0.907062 1.617111 2.683667
2025-02-09 0.001712 0.036395 0.156096 0.429012 0.917862 1.661995 2.789694
2025-02-16 0.001112 0.033260 0.153156 0.434798 0.947252 1.734702 2.935724
2025-02-23 0.000547 0.028521 0.144765 0.428890 0.956518 1.777146 3.039026
2025-03-02 0.000168 0.022926 0.132214 0.413090 0.947888 1.791890 3.102413
2025-03-09 0.000078 0.021293 0.131417 0.421839 0.981794 1.871893 3.260616
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.017710 0.123099 0.413477 0.985124 1.904626 3.350427